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1、PRESENTVALUELECTURE弗兰克唐英年韦德博士Dr.FRANKHENRYWADE,CPA,CIA,CMA,CISA莆田学院,中国PutianUniversity,China00865942694714,00865942694704&Cell00861516020041372RULE72Rule72DOUBLEYOURMONEY1.72/years=AppoxInterestrate2.72/Interestrate=Approx#ofyearsHowtoComputeLoanPymts1millionRMPLoantob
2、erepaidin20years,10%Interest.WhatarePymts?FutureValueofAnnuity10%,20yearsis57.281m/57.28=17,458NEWQUES:2millionRMPLoantoberepaidin20years,9%Interest.WhatarePymts?2millionRMPLoantoberepaidin20years,9%Interest.WhatarePymts?FutureValueofAnnuity9%,20yearsis51.162m/51.16=39
3、,093STATELOTTERY/PENSIONWhatdoespensioncost?1.Whatareyearlypymtsfor1milliondollarsin20years@10%A)1million/FutureAnnuity20,10%(57.28)=17,458B)Whattoinvest?PresentValueofannuityof17,458@20yr,10%(8.514)=148,637IRRUnevenflowsProjectAis3,625NPV,13%80,000.885(15,000)=13,275。
4、783(20,000)=15,660。693(25,000)=17,325。613(30,000)=18,390。543(35,000)=19,00583,655NPV3,625ProjectB,13%5years,15Keachyear50,000LessPVofAnnuity3.517(15,000)=52,755NPV2,7554.4IRRProjectAIRRis14.7%.Thiswasfoundwithagreatdealoftrialanderrorandinterpolatingtheinterestrates.Th
5、efollowingarethetvmffor14.7%ineachyear..872(15,000)=13,080.760(20,000)=15,200.663(25,000)=15,575.578(30,000)=17,340.504(35,000)=17,64079,835-80,000=NPV0ProjectBIRRis15%50,000/15,000=(3.333)3.333isTVMFfor 15%, 5 years。CAPMCapitalAssetPricingModel(WmSharpe)Pg106CAPM=Rf+B
6、eta(Km-Rf)CAPM=SecurityexpectedreturnRf=RiskfreerateofinterestBeta=Measureofnon-diversifiablerisk.Riskcan’tbediversifiedawaysuchaseconomicrisksKrf=Riskfreerateofinterest(Governmentbondrate)Km=RateofReturnonmarketindexQuestion4,Pg123BETA:IndexofSystematicRisk:AppleBeta1
7、.75Google1.36Nike.69Coke.68CAPMAdvantagesThemethodofassetpricingissimpleandeasilyunderstoodastheonlyunknowninthepricingformulaistheBetavariable.ItforcestheinvestortorelateriskfreeinvestmentwiththeforcesofmarketuncertaintywhichisembodiedintheBetavariable.TheBetavariable
8、canbevisualizedasalinearfunctionwheretheverticalaxisisknownreturnorriskfreereturn.Thehorizontalaxisisforceofthemarket